MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W

GULF OF MEXICO... RIDGE OF HIGH PRES OVER GULF STATES IS MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE E TO SE WINDS OVER THE GULF. THE PRESENCE OF THE LIGHT WINDS ARE CONFIRMED BY A 1514 HIGH RESOLUTION ASCAT PASS. WINDS AND SEAS HAVE BEGUN TO INCREASE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND WILL SPREAD OVER THE SE PART OF THE BASIN TONIGHT AS A WIND SURGE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN MOVES INTO THE AREA. THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF THIS TROPICAL WAVE WILL SHIFT ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT AND FRI...AND INTO THE E-CENTRAL GULF ON SAT WITH AN ASSOCIATED INCREASE IN WINDS S OF 26N SAT. PER NOON MEDIUM RANGE CONFERENCE CALL...LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL MOVE OFF YUCATAN LATE SUN AND BE NEAR 24N89W MON AND 25N90W TUE. THIS TRACK IS SOMEWHAT EAST OF ALL THE 12 UTC MODEL GUIDANCE NOW COMING IN AND WILL LIKELY BE ADJUSTED TO THE WEST. NONETHELESS WILL INCREASE WINDS AND SEAS ALONG THE CURRENT TRACK OF THE LOW WITH MAIN IMPACTS OVER THE NW AND CENTRAL GULF ZONES AT THIS TIME.